Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.157426 0.168396 0.179851 0.192726 0.206819 0.221804 0.238980
2026-01-04 0.139962 0.156220 0.174164 0.195536 0.220428 0.248662 0.283333
2026-01-11 0.127538 0.146301 0.167766 0.194336 0.226615 0.264912 0.314318
2026-01-18 0.117679 0.137880 0.161648 0.191980 0.230102 0.277030 0.340123
2026-01-25 0.109324 0.130339 0.155644 0.188774 0.231630 0.286086 0.361997
2026-02-01 0.105479 0.127873 0.155448 0.192462 0.241725 0.306348 0.399809
2026-02-08 0.099793 0.122635 0.151279 0.190529 0.244026 0.316115 0.423724
2026-02-15 0.095546 0.118918 0.148735 0.190397 0.248491 0.328841 0.452564
2026-02-22 0.090423 0.113740 0.143919 0.186788 0.247735 0.333940 0.470319
2026-03-01 0.086849 0.110399 0.141318 0.185970 0.250709 0.344397 0.496811
2026-03-08 0.084226 0.108174 0.140065 0.186882 0.256104 0.358623 0.530243
2026-03-15 0.080529 0.104304 0.136332 0.183991 0.255621 0.363785 0.549310
2026-03-22 0.077507 0.101271 0.133672 0.182575 0.257347 0.372611 0.575533
2026-03-29 0.075955 0.100216 0.133744 0.185163 0.265333 0.391872 0.621488
2026-04-05 0.073393 0.097613 0.131455 0.184045 0.267387 0.401569 0.651402
2026-04-12 0.070695 0.094700 0.128576 0.181849 0.267530 0.408010 0.675875
2026-04-19 0.067951 0.091611 0.125302 0.178860 0.266166 0.411723 0.695470
2026-04-26 0.067155 0.091317 0.126137 0.182298 0.275531 0.434549 0.754121
2026-05-03 0.065008 0.088951 0.123757 0.180496 0.275966 0.441584 0.782150
2026-05-10 0.063421 0.087355 0.122472 0.180374 0.279216 0.453859 0.822102
2026-05-17 0.061108 0.084593 0.119294 0.177008 0.276628 0.455157 0.839032
2026-05-24 0.059558 0.082929 0.117747 0.176245 0.278543 0.464971 0.875301
2026-05-31 0.058474 0.081932 0.117194 0.177095 0.283349 0.480598 0.926180